Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Chelsea Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CHTP) to Perform from Outperform after their survey suggested physicians believe currently available generic treatments are adequate in neurogenic orthostatic hypotension, which could impact the company's lead drug Droxidopa.
Clearwire (NASDAQ:CLWR) was cut to Sell from Hold at Citigroup on valuation, as they estimate fair value at $13.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Goldman downgraded Kellogg (NYSE:K) to Neutral from Buy and Hershey Foods (NYSE:HSY) to Sell from Neutral.
Cereal maker Kellogg (NYSE: K) issued its Q1 earnings today, and while it may not have been the most exciting event on Earth, it did beat expectations, according to Briefing.com.
The strong dollar benefited the top line, as net sales increased 10% (stripping out the effect of the strong dollar yields a top-line growth rate closer to 5%). Operating profit advanced 9%. Unfortunately, not much was happening on the bottom line -- earnings per diluted share only gained a penny, coming in at $0.81 (there was a better tax situation in last year's similar quarter, however). Not much took place in the area of cash flow either -- free cash flow declined to $181 million; last year at this time, the breakfast guru reported $289 million in free cash.
Still, Kellogg's management seems pretty confident in the company's future prospects as it saw fit to bestow a 10% dividend increase on shareholders. And going back to the expectations game, earnings came in $0.05 more than expected -- that's excellent. Kellogg, like General Mills (NYSE: GIS) and Kraft (NYSE: KFT), is a great idea for long-term dollar-cost-averaging and dividend-reinvesting (love those hyphenates!). Just don't expect tech-like growth, and do expect bumps along the way, especially with commodity prices acting as they have been.
Disclosure: I own none of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
Kraft Foods, Inc. (NYSE: KFT) is in a bit of a pickle. As the following article makes clear, the company knows it has to raise prices. There's just no choice in the matter. Commodity input costs are on the rise, and something has to give. But the problem is, consumers not only have to pay more for Kraft foodstuffs, they have to ante up more of the green stuff for everything else too -- fuel for the car, heating oil for the home, you know the drill.
If you're a Kraft shareholder, should this concern you? What about if you own other consumer-oriented stocks based on the supermarket shelves that are feeling the inflationary pinch, companies such as General Mills, Inc. (NYSE: GIS) -- which reported earnings today -- or Kellogg Company (NYSE: K), or maybe even beverage businesses like The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO) or PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE: PEP)? Well, it should, of course. Inflation is no fun, and with the price of oil hitting new highs recently, a trend that seems very much intact, consumers will be strapped. In fact, Kraft is now trying to make up for lower volumes by raising the cost of its goods; this isn't ideal, perhaps, but Rick Searer, who is the president of Kraft North America, brings up an almost humorous point -- "consumers have to eat." I have yet to meet one that doesn't, come to think of it!
But I think the consumer companies are relatively sophisticated with their data-analysis protocols and are, perhaps, a bit more nimble in terms of deducing what shoppers want to buy for purposes of stocking their pantries. At least, I would hope they are -- we've been hearing about better data-mining techniques for years. Kraft obviously will promote a wait-and-see attitude in terms of the consumer and her reaction to the recession, but I don't think shareholders should be overly worried at this point. A lot of these defensive names have international exposure and stand to benefit from the falling dollar, for one thing. For another, we all have to eat! And since the defensive names generally have dividend yields, they tend to be safer bets during a recession; don't think they can't fall, though, because they can. One just hopes they don't fall as much as, say, your typical financial entity or a broad market index.
Disclosure: I own shares of Coca-Cola; positions can change at any time.
Everyone loves ketchup (well, then again, I'm sure there are a few out there who don't). But should everyone love Heinz's (NYSE: HNZ) latest earnings missive?
I say the earnings were respectable, if not utterly spectacular, in the third quarter. The top line moved up a robust 14% to $2.6 billion in sales; operating income increased 8%. The bottom line, however, was, eh, okay -- $0.68 per diluted share for this Q3 versus $0.66 per diluted share for last year's Q3. A two-penny increase isn't a reason to party, I suppose. Then again, Heinz isn't one of those companies that inspire you to throw a party upon an earnings release. Like Hershey (NYSE: HSY), Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB), General Mills (NYSE: GIS), Kellogg (NYSE: K), and Kraft (NYSE: KFT), it's a consumer foodstuffs name backed by a portfolio of well-known brands that people gravitate toward every day in supermarkets across the globe.
Here's the thing about Heinz, however: it sports a yield of approximately 3.3%, and it is in the middle of a tight 52-week range. That is definitely an attractive situation for the stock. Heinz is being perceived as a safe, recession-proof play. I'm not sure anything is truly recession-proof, but I do think the yield is impressive, and I think that such a stock may continue to hold steady, and even outperform, in this environment.
I'm not a fan of soup; never had the stuff in my life. But I notice that Wall Street is liking Campbell Soup's (NYSE: CPB) stock today; at the time of this writing, the shares are up a little over 6%. Guess there's money to be made in that soup stuff, no matter what I may think.
For the second quarter, Campbell saw a 7% rise in net sales. Earnings from continuing operations were $0.67 per diluted share for the quarter compared to $0.65 per diluted share for the year-ago period. Gee, that doesn't sound like such hot growth. But as some articles have observed, Campbell's stock has been sold off in recent months, so this is sort of a buy-on-the-news scenario. Plus, total soup sales increased 4% in Q2, and the baking/snacking segment increased its top line by 8% -- those iconic Goldfish crackers will not be stopped, let me tell you. And you know what else is doing well? Those V8 V-Fusion beverages. I've been drinking a ton of that stuff lately; those drinks really are superb. Gross margin was down, though. I don't like that, but I do enjoy the fact that operational cash flow increased for the first half of the year: that metric came in at $442 million...in the previous comparable period, Campbell booked $328 million. Campbell recently decided to dump its Godiva brand.
I didn't find this earnings report so exciting, but Campbell Soup is like Kraft (NYSE: KFT), Kellogg (NYSE: K), General Mills (NYSE: GIS), and Hershey (NYSE: HSY) -- it has a valuable portfolio of foodstuffs that people buy every day, and it pays a dividend that should go up over time. It's not my favorite dividend-reinvesting name right now, but it'll be around for the long term. And even though I am not helping out investors by shunning soup, I do have to reiterate my love for those V8 Fusion drinks -- believe me, I'm aiding the company significantly on that front.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says balance sheets are strong, so spillover isn't an issue.
I get emails and postings almost every day from fixed-income specialists, saying that the credit markets' myriad problems simply aren't being reflected in the equity markets, and that's just plain wrong. They warn us equity players that we are dreamers and that it is just a matter of time before the terrible problems in collateralized debt, huge leverage, and now auction rate preferred notes spill over into equities and that any rally in stocks is just a fool's paradise.
There's a problem with this inevitability story though, one that eludes these critics and might continue to elude them -- it hasn't happened yet, despite a year's worth of turmoil. That's a long time for a big problem like this to be cordoned, so it is worth looking at whether the naysayers are wrong and something else is at work.
When I look around at the vast choices of assets out there for the thousands of fund managers and institutions that have to put their money somewhere -- provided it is not dedicated to a particular asset from the get-go -- I see one world in chaos and another world in order. The bond market, the credit market, is in total disarray, with every aspect of its existence save Treasuries under fire. We know now that a simple reset market for municipals is failing because, of course, the charade of the bond insurers and their chimerical protection. The CDO market stinks. This is a multibillion dollar market where no one can figure out the prices of anything and the spreads between the bid and the ask are so wide that no one can afford to own or trade them. You don't know where they are marked. You don't know what's in them. You don't know what they are really rated. They are basically worth nothing right now to anyone. Commercial paper? Hardly worth the pick-up in interest. "Cash reserves"? We have seen the "buck" supported over and over again. There has to be a moment where the buck is broken.
First oil. Then copper, then lumber, and coal. And now grain.
The solid economic growth in the world's emerging markets that's caused oil / coal and commodities prices to surge is now fully hitting the grain market.
So much so, that some food producers are calling on the U.S. government to restrict exports due to soaring prices for grains they use to make cereal and other foods. Meanwhile, some farmers are asking the U.S. Government to ease restrictions to enable farmers to plant more acres, The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday [Subscription required].
For food producers, the issue involves limiting a major operating cost. During the past year, spring wheat has risen to an astounding $17.63 per bushel, up from about $4.90 a year ago. Flour, which used to cost about $15 per 100 pounds, now sells for about $45-48 per 100 pounds. Food producers say prices are increasing so fast, they can't pass along price increases quick enough to keep up.
Merck & Co. (NYSE: MRK) shares are gaining 1% in premarket trading after it posted a $1.6 billion loss in the fourth quarter due to large charges for its Vioxx litigation settlement and other items dragged down results. While Net loss amounted to 75 cents per share, fourth-quarter charges totaled $3.4 billion, or $1.55 per share. Excluding the one-time earnings, net income would have been 80 cents per share, beating the expected 74 cents earnings per share. Revenues were up 3% to $6.24 billion, slightly less than the estimated $6.3 billion. Merck also lowered its full-year 2008 forecast.
Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) reported a fourth-quarter profit rise of 4% $1.03 billion, or $1.36 per share on higher commercial airplane deliveries and strong growth in defense earnings, beating Wall Street's expectations of $1.32 per share despite ongoing concerns over delays in its 787 Dreamliner program. Boeing also increased its guidance for 2008 earnings, citing productivity improvements.
Also reporting today: Kraft Foods (NASDAQ: KFT) is expected to post earnings of 44 cents a share in the fourth quarter. United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS) is expected to report fourth-quarter earnings of $1.13 a share. Eastman Kodak Co. (NYSE: EK) is expected to report earnings of 52 cents a share in the fourth quarter. Kellogg Co. (NYSE: K) is expected to post earnings of 44 cents a share in the fourth quarter.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: ICF International, General Mills, Kellogg and Caterpillar were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Jefferies upgraded shares of ICF International (NASDAQ: ICFI) to Buy from Hold on valuation to reflect the company's accelerating core business momentum and upped Road Home funding.
Citigroup raised its rating on General Mills (NYSE: GIS) and Kellogg (NYSE: K) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they believe food consumption stocks are recession proof.
Bear Stearns upgraded shares of Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) to Outperform from Peer Perform as they believe the company will benefit from the interest rate cuts.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Merck (NYSE: MRK) was raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
El Paso (NYSE: EP) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
Lehman raised Kimberly Clark (NYSE: KMB) to Overweight from Equal Weight.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) said fourth-quarter profit rose 3.9% as wireless and television subscriptions increased. Net income climbed to $1.07 billion, or 37 cents a share. Profit excluding some items was 62 cents, meeting the average estimate of 21 analysts in the Bloomberg survey. Sales rose 5.5% to $23.8 billion, missing the $24 billion average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey.
Oilfield services provider Halliburton Co. (NYSE: HAL) said Monday its fourth-quarter profit rose almost 5% from a year ago, helped by growing business in the Eastern Hemisphere, where the company is placing greater resources. Net income rose to $690 million, or 75 cents per share topping analysts estimate of 69 cents a share. Halliburton's quarterly revenue rose 19% to $4.2 billion, topping analysts' estimates of $4.1 billion. Shares are climbing over 1.6% in premarket trading.
Kellogg (NYSE: K) and General Mills (NYSE: GIS) were each upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup with the broker claiming that not only is there little correlation between U.S. food consumption and GDP growth, but a recession may even help these firms, as consumers eat in more.
Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) was upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns. In this case, the broker hopes for an economic rebound in 2009 when construction equipment sale should "begin to recover."
Dollar cost averaging may not guarantee you better returns than lump-sum investing, but it has other advantages that might bring a better yield over the long run.
It's one of life's ironies that retailers try to lure you into their stores with low prices, only to do everything in their power to make sure you spend more than you intended once you're inside. It's important to understand these methods so you don't fall for them. Fight back and save money by following a few simple tips.
There is an outfit in Columbia, Maryland that makes nutritional substances from microbes. It sounds odd, but the stuff must be good. It is found in almost ninety percent of all U.S. infant formulas.
Martek Biosciences Corporation (NASDAQ: MATK) provides natural products derived from microalgae, fungi and other microbes. These include nutritional oils, which are used by makers of infant formula, nutritional supplements, and food and beverage fortification products. Martek also offers contract manufacturing services for the production of enzymes, specialty chemicals, vitamins and agricultural specialty products. Further, it provides fluorescent detection products, used by researchers in drug discovery and diagnostics. Customers include Dean Foods (NYSE: DF), General Mills (NYSE: GIS) and Kellogg (NYSE: K).
The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported Q4 EPS of 23 cents and revenues of $82 million. Analysts had been expecting 20 cents and $78.4 million. Management also guided Q1 EPS to 21-23 cents (17 cent consensus) and Q1 revenues to $79-83 million ($77.30M consensus). For FY08, the company expects year over year growth in both revenues and profitability.
Wheat prices pushed above $10 per bushel Monday, as dry weather threatened crops in Argentina, adding to concerns regarding a potential wheat shortage, Bloomberg News reported Monday.
The bullish move in wheat sent other grains and oilseeds higher. Argentina, now experiencing summer, is a key supply of wheat for bread, pasta and livestock feed.
The price of wheat has more than doubled in the past year, with wheat climbing another 30 cents to $10.03 per bushel Monday morning. Soybeans gained 17 cents to $11.93 per bushel. Corn rose 5 cents to $4.43 per bushel.
Global growth
Economist Steve Affinito told BloggingStocks Monday that wheat's climb is part of a global trend of higher commodity prices, driven by emerging market economic growth.
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MOST NOTEWORTHY: Airlines, Chelsea Therapeutics and Clearwire were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
Cereal maker 
First oil. Then copper, then lumber, and coal. And now grain. 
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Wheat prices pushed above $10 per bushel Monday, as dry weather threatened crops in Argentina, adding to concerns regarding a potential wheat shortage, 
Just how high will U.S. gasoline prices rise?
Nordstrom and Kohl's post smaller-than-expected Q1 profit declines
Oil hits record $127.43 on supply concerns, raised Goldman forecast
